[Télécharger] The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: 'On Robustness and Fragility' de Nassim Nicholas Taleb Francais PDF

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Télécharger "The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: 'On Robustness and Fragility'" de Nassim Nicholas Taleb Francais PDF

Auteur : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Catégorie : Livres anglais et étrangers,Business & Investing,Finance
Broché : * pages
Éditeur : *
Langue : Français, Anglais

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) “A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail “Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times “The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal “Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times “Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review

Télécharger The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: 'On Robustness and Fragility' de Nassim Nicholas Taleb Livre PDF Gratuit

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The Black Swan. The Impact of the Highly Improbable ~ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a book by the essayist, scholar and statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb. It was released on April 17, 2007 by Random House. The book focuses on the extreme impact of certain kinds of rare and unpredictable events (outliers) and humans tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events retrospectively. This theory has since become .

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the black swan: the impact of the highly improbable ~ Compre online The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility", de Taleb, Nassim Nicholas na Amazon. Looking for a compelling narrative and eye-opening examples, what does this book offer? Tente novamente. It is the exact contrary of knowledge; one should learn to avoid using terms made for knowledge to describe its opposite .

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable ~ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a 2007 book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb.The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events—and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. Taleb calls this the Black Swan theory.. The book covers subjects relating to knowledge, aesthetics .

Vous avez plus de livres que vous n'êtes capable d'en lire ~ Taleb expose sa théorie de l’anti-bibliothèque dans un livre en anglais : « The Black Swan : Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: « On Robustness and Fragility« . » Ne culpabilisez plus !

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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly ~ A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay,

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Fooled by Randomness Livre audio / Nassim Nicholas Taleb ~ The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" Incerto, Book 2 De : Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lu par : Joe Ochman Durée : 15 h et 48 min Version intégrale Global 5 out of 5 stars 11 Performance 5 out of 5 stars 8 Histoire 5 out of 5 stars 7 A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is .

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